A Cumulative Belief-Degree Approach for Nuclear Safeguards Evaluation

Research output: Contribution to report/book/conference proceedingsIn-proceedings paperpeer-review

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A Cumulative Belief-Degree Approach for Nuclear Safeguards Evaluation. / Kabak, Özgür; Ruan, Da; Carchon, Roland (Peer reviewer).

Proceedings 2009 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics. Vol. 1 Piscataway, NJ, United States, 2009. p. 2216-2221.

Research output: Contribution to report/book/conference proceedingsIn-proceedings paperpeer-review

Harvard

Kabak, Ö, Ruan, D & Carchon, R 2009, A Cumulative Belief-Degree Approach for Nuclear Safeguards Evaluation. in Proceedings 2009 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics. vol. 1, Piscataway, NJ, United States, pp. 2216-2221, 2009 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, San Antonio, Texas, United States, 2009-10-11.

APA

Kabak, Ö., Ruan, D., & Carchon, R. (2009). A Cumulative Belief-Degree Approach for Nuclear Safeguards Evaluation. In Proceedings 2009 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics (Vol. 1, pp. 2216-2221).

Vancouver

Kabak Ö, Ruan D, Carchon R. A Cumulative Belief-Degree Approach for Nuclear Safeguards Evaluation. In Proceedings 2009 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics. Vol. 1. Piscataway, NJ, United States. 2009. p. 2216-2221

Author

Kabak, Özgür ; Ruan, Da ; Carchon, Roland. / A Cumulative Belief-Degree Approach for Nuclear Safeguards Evaluation. Proceedings 2009 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics. Vol. 1 Piscataway, NJ, United States, 2009. pp. 2216-2221

Bibtex - Download

@inproceedings{809e3f729edf4440bb3c40e032313092,
title = "A Cumulative Belief-Degree Approach for Nuclear Safeguards Evaluation",
abstract = "Nuclear safeguards are a set of activities to verify that a State is living up to its international undertakings not to use nuclear programs for nuclear weapons purposes. International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) uses a hierarchical assessment system that is composed of critical activities in the nuclear fuel cycle, processes required for the activities, and the indicators to evaluate the processes. IAEA experts benefit from several sources to evaluate the indicators such as State declarations, on-site inspections, IAEA databases, and open sources. One of the most important problems in nuclear safeguards evaluation (NSE) is observed in the aggregation of the multiple expert evaluations. In this study, a methodology is proposed to solve this problem where fuzzy linguistic terms are proposed to represent the expert evaluations and cumulative belief degrees (CBDs) are applied to aggregate the evaluations. CBD is introduced based on belief structure, which is developed on the basis of decision theory and Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence. The study also presents a numerical example to show the applicability of the proposed methodology.",
keywords = "Nuclear safeguards, fuzzy linguistic terms, cumulative belif degree, decision making",
author = "{\"O}zg{\"u}r Kabak and Da Ruan and Roland Carchon",
note = "Score = 3; 2009 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics ; Conference date: 11-10-2009 Through 14-10-2009",
year = "2009",
month = oct,
language = "English",
isbn = "978-1-4244-2794-9",
volume = "1",
pages = "2216--2221",
booktitle = "Proceedings 2009 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics",

}

RIS - Download

TY - GEN

T1 - A Cumulative Belief-Degree Approach for Nuclear Safeguards Evaluation

AU - Kabak, Özgür

AU - Ruan, Da

A2 - Carchon, Roland

N1 - Score = 3

PY - 2009/10

Y1 - 2009/10

N2 - Nuclear safeguards are a set of activities to verify that a State is living up to its international undertakings not to use nuclear programs for nuclear weapons purposes. International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) uses a hierarchical assessment system that is composed of critical activities in the nuclear fuel cycle, processes required for the activities, and the indicators to evaluate the processes. IAEA experts benefit from several sources to evaluate the indicators such as State declarations, on-site inspections, IAEA databases, and open sources. One of the most important problems in nuclear safeguards evaluation (NSE) is observed in the aggregation of the multiple expert evaluations. In this study, a methodology is proposed to solve this problem where fuzzy linguistic terms are proposed to represent the expert evaluations and cumulative belief degrees (CBDs) are applied to aggregate the evaluations. CBD is introduced based on belief structure, which is developed on the basis of decision theory and Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence. The study also presents a numerical example to show the applicability of the proposed methodology.

AB - Nuclear safeguards are a set of activities to verify that a State is living up to its international undertakings not to use nuclear programs for nuclear weapons purposes. International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) uses a hierarchical assessment system that is composed of critical activities in the nuclear fuel cycle, processes required for the activities, and the indicators to evaluate the processes. IAEA experts benefit from several sources to evaluate the indicators such as State declarations, on-site inspections, IAEA databases, and open sources. One of the most important problems in nuclear safeguards evaluation (NSE) is observed in the aggregation of the multiple expert evaluations. In this study, a methodology is proposed to solve this problem where fuzzy linguistic terms are proposed to represent the expert evaluations and cumulative belief degrees (CBDs) are applied to aggregate the evaluations. CBD is introduced based on belief structure, which is developed on the basis of decision theory and Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence. The study also presents a numerical example to show the applicability of the proposed methodology.

KW - Nuclear safeguards

KW - fuzzy linguistic terms

KW - cumulative belif degree

KW - decision making

UR - http://ecm.sckcen.be/OTCS/llisapi.dll/open/ezp_101656

UR - http://ecm.sckcen.be/OTCS/llisapi.dll/open/ezp_101656_2

UR - http://ecm.sckcen.be/OTCS/llisapi.dll/open/ezp_101656_3

UR - http://knowledgecentre.sckcen.be/so2/bibref/6313

M3 - In-proceedings paper

SN - 978-1-4244-2794-9

VL - 1

SP - 2216

EP - 2221

BT - Proceedings 2009 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics

CY - Piscataway, NJ, United States

T2 - 2009 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics

Y2 - 11 October 2009 through 14 October 2009

ER -

ID: 299425