Inter-comparison of dynamic models for radionuclide transfer to marine biota in a Fukushima accident scenario

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Inter-comparison of dynamic models for radionuclide transfer to marine biota in a Fukushima accident scenario. / Vives i Batlle, Jordi; Beresford, Nicholas; Beaugelin-Seiller, Karine; Bezhenar, Roman; Brown, Justin; Cheng, Jing-Jy; Cujic, Mirjana; Dragovic, Snezana; Duffa, Céline; Fievet, Bruno; Hosseini, Ali; Jung, Kyung Tae; Kamboj, Sunita; Keum, Dong-Kwon; Kryshev, Alexander; LePoire, David; Maderich, Vladimir; Min, Byung Il; Periáñez, Raúl; Sazykina, Tatiana; Suh, Kyung-Suk; Yu, Charley; Wang, Cheng; Heling, Rudie; Horemans, Nele (Peer reviewer).

In: Journal of environmental radioactivity, Vol. 153, 01.03.2016, p. 31-50.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Harvard

Vives i Batlle, J, Beresford, N, Beaugelin-Seiller, K, Bezhenar, R, Brown, J, Cheng, J-J, Cujic, M, Dragovic, S, Duffa, C, Fievet, B, Hosseini, A, Jung, KT, Kamboj, S, Keum, D-K, Kryshev, A, LePoire, D, Maderich, V, Min, BI, Periáñez, R, Sazykina, T, Suh, K-S, Yu, C, Wang, C, Heling, R & Horemans, N 2016, 'Inter-comparison of dynamic models for radionuclide transfer to marine biota in a Fukushima accident scenario', Journal of environmental radioactivity, vol. 153, pp. 31-50. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvrad.2015.12.006

APA

Vives i Batlle, J., Beresford, N., Beaugelin-Seiller, K., Bezhenar, R., Brown, J., Cheng, J-J., ... Horemans, N. (2016). Inter-comparison of dynamic models for radionuclide transfer to marine biota in a Fukushima accident scenario. Journal of environmental radioactivity, 153, 31-50. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvrad.2015.12.006

Vancouver

Vives i Batlle J, Beresford N, Beaugelin-Seiller K, Bezhenar R, Brown J, Cheng J-J et al. Inter-comparison of dynamic models for radionuclide transfer to marine biota in a Fukushima accident scenario. Journal of environmental radioactivity. 2016 Mar 1;153:31-50. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvrad.2015.12.006

Author

Vives i Batlle, Jordi ; Beresford, Nicholas ; Beaugelin-Seiller, Karine ; Bezhenar, Roman ; Brown, Justin ; Cheng, Jing-Jy ; Cujic, Mirjana ; Dragovic, Snezana ; Duffa, Céline ; Fievet, Bruno ; Hosseini, Ali ; Jung, Kyung Tae ; Kamboj, Sunita ; Keum, Dong-Kwon ; Kryshev, Alexander ; LePoire, David ; Maderich, Vladimir ; Min, Byung Il ; Periáñez, Raúl ; Sazykina, Tatiana ; Suh, Kyung-Suk ; Yu, Charley ; Wang, Cheng ; Heling, Rudie ; Horemans, Nele. / Inter-comparison of dynamic models for radionuclide transfer to marine biota in a Fukushima accident scenario. In: Journal of environmental radioactivity. 2016 ; Vol. 153. pp. 31-50.

Bibtex - Download

@article{885b8bfe419744a99644d060eb670534,
title = "Inter-comparison of dynamic models for radionuclide transfer to marine biota in a Fukushima accident scenario",
abstract = "We report an inter-comparison of eight models designed to predict the radiological exposure of radionuclides in marine biota. The models were required to simulate dynamically the uptake and turnover of radionuclides by marine organisms. Model predictions of radionuclide uptake and turnover using kinetic calculations based on biological half-life (TB1/2) and/or more complex metabolic modelling approaches were used to predict activity concentrations and, consequently, dose rates of 90Sr, 131I and 137Cs to fish, crustaceans, macroalgae and molluscs under circumstances where the water concentrations are changing with time. For comparison, the ERICA Tool, a model commonly used in environmental assessment, and which uses equilibrium concentration ratios, was also used. As input to the models we used hydrodynamic forecasts of water and sediment activity concentrations using a simulated scenario reflecting the Fukushima accident releases. Although model variability is important, the intercomparison gives logical results, in that the dynamic models predict consistently a pattern of delayed rise of activity concentration in biota and slow decline instead of the instantaneous equilibrium with the activity concentration in seawater predicted by the ERICA Tool. The differences between ERICA and the dynamic models increase the shorter the TB1/2 becomes; however, there is significant variability between models, underpinned by parameter and methodological differences between them. The need to validate the dynamic models used in this intercomparison has been highlighted, particularly in regards to optimisation of the model biokinetic parameters.",
keywords = "dynamic model, MODARIA, Non-human biota, Dose",
author = "{Vives i Batlle}, Jordi and Nicholas Beresford and Karine Beaugelin-Seiller and Roman Bezhenar and Justin Brown and Jing-Jy Cheng and Mirjana Cujic and Snezana Dragovic and C{\'e}line Duffa and Bruno Fievet and Ali Hosseini and Jung, {Kyung Tae} and Sunita Kamboj and Dong-Kwon Keum and Alexander Kryshev and David LePoire and Vladimir Maderich and Min, {Byung Il} and Ra{\'u}l Peri{\'a}{\~n}ez and Tatiana Sazykina and Kyung-Suk Suh and Charley Yu and Cheng Wang and Rudie Heling and Nele Horemans",
note = "Score=10",
year = "2016",
month = "3",
day = "1",
doi = "10.1016/j.jenvrad.2015.12.006",
language = "English",
volume = "153",
pages = "31--50",
journal = "Journal of environmental radioactivity",
issn = "0265-931X",
publisher = "Elsevier",

}

RIS - Download

TY - JOUR

T1 - Inter-comparison of dynamic models for radionuclide transfer to marine biota in a Fukushima accident scenario

AU - Vives i Batlle, Jordi

AU - Beresford, Nicholas

AU - Beaugelin-Seiller, Karine

AU - Bezhenar, Roman

AU - Brown, Justin

AU - Cheng, Jing-Jy

AU - Cujic, Mirjana

AU - Dragovic, Snezana

AU - Duffa, Céline

AU - Fievet, Bruno

AU - Hosseini, Ali

AU - Jung, Kyung Tae

AU - Kamboj, Sunita

AU - Keum, Dong-Kwon

AU - Kryshev, Alexander

AU - LePoire, David

AU - Maderich, Vladimir

AU - Min, Byung Il

AU - Periáñez, Raúl

AU - Sazykina, Tatiana

AU - Suh, Kyung-Suk

AU - Yu, Charley

AU - Wang, Cheng

AU - Heling, Rudie

A2 - Horemans, Nele

N1 - Score=10

PY - 2016/3/1

Y1 - 2016/3/1

N2 - We report an inter-comparison of eight models designed to predict the radiological exposure of radionuclides in marine biota. The models were required to simulate dynamically the uptake and turnover of radionuclides by marine organisms. Model predictions of radionuclide uptake and turnover using kinetic calculations based on biological half-life (TB1/2) and/or more complex metabolic modelling approaches were used to predict activity concentrations and, consequently, dose rates of 90Sr, 131I and 137Cs to fish, crustaceans, macroalgae and molluscs under circumstances where the water concentrations are changing with time. For comparison, the ERICA Tool, a model commonly used in environmental assessment, and which uses equilibrium concentration ratios, was also used. As input to the models we used hydrodynamic forecasts of water and sediment activity concentrations using a simulated scenario reflecting the Fukushima accident releases. Although model variability is important, the intercomparison gives logical results, in that the dynamic models predict consistently a pattern of delayed rise of activity concentration in biota and slow decline instead of the instantaneous equilibrium with the activity concentration in seawater predicted by the ERICA Tool. The differences between ERICA and the dynamic models increase the shorter the TB1/2 becomes; however, there is significant variability between models, underpinned by parameter and methodological differences between them. The need to validate the dynamic models used in this intercomparison has been highlighted, particularly in regards to optimisation of the model biokinetic parameters.

AB - We report an inter-comparison of eight models designed to predict the radiological exposure of radionuclides in marine biota. The models were required to simulate dynamically the uptake and turnover of radionuclides by marine organisms. Model predictions of radionuclide uptake and turnover using kinetic calculations based on biological half-life (TB1/2) and/or more complex metabolic modelling approaches were used to predict activity concentrations and, consequently, dose rates of 90Sr, 131I and 137Cs to fish, crustaceans, macroalgae and molluscs under circumstances where the water concentrations are changing with time. For comparison, the ERICA Tool, a model commonly used in environmental assessment, and which uses equilibrium concentration ratios, was also used. As input to the models we used hydrodynamic forecasts of water and sediment activity concentrations using a simulated scenario reflecting the Fukushima accident releases. Although model variability is important, the intercomparison gives logical results, in that the dynamic models predict consistently a pattern of delayed rise of activity concentration in biota and slow decline instead of the instantaneous equilibrium with the activity concentration in seawater predicted by the ERICA Tool. The differences between ERICA and the dynamic models increase the shorter the TB1/2 becomes; however, there is significant variability between models, underpinned by parameter and methodological differences between them. The need to validate the dynamic models used in this intercomparison has been highlighted, particularly in regards to optimisation of the model biokinetic parameters.

KW - dynamic model

KW - MODARIA

KW - Non-human biota

KW - Dose

UR - http://ecm.sckcen.be/OTCS/llisapi.dll/open/11928983

U2 - 10.1016/j.jenvrad.2015.12.006

DO - 10.1016/j.jenvrad.2015.12.006

M3 - Article

VL - 153

SP - 31

EP - 50

JO - Journal of environmental radioactivity

JF - Journal of environmental radioactivity

SN - 0265-931X

ER -

ID: 835862